Working Paper
Working Paper
(Job Market Paper)
Abstract: A question at the heart of much of the policy debate on public education is how to get more for less. Charter schools have been a tool in this arena to pressure traditional public schools to improve or lose students to them. Moreover, charter schools designated as ``High-performing" have recently been allowed to expand capacity at will in Florida, while the remainder need to request for such permission. I leverage this policy reform and evaluate its influence on education access and quality. I develop and estimate a tractable dynamic model that highlights both the (costly) adjustment of schools' capacity and their ``effort'' to improve quality, as well as their dynamic response to competitive pressure. I find evidence that obtaining ``High-performing" designation reduces adjustment costs of capacity, which is valuable to charter schools. More importantly, such charter schools exert pressure on traditional public schools nearby. In the simulation, I show that targeting value-added, not just performance level, would improve the mean performance of the entire education sector and enhance equity of access.
with Emilio Gutierrez, Beata Javorick, Wolfgang Keller, Ricardo Miranda, Kensuke Teshima, James Tybout
Synopsis: We study the impact of retail globalization on calorie consumption under alternative policy regimes. Specifically, using household-level surveys and home scanner data, we first examine the effects of Walmart openings in Mexican cities on household consumption patterns. In doing so, we document an eight percent permanent increase in households' purchased calories that coincides with the timing of Walmart openings, and we show that this increase traces to greater consumption of unhealthy foods. Next, we show that when Mexico introduced a tax on highly caloric foods in 2014, caloric intake fell among Walmart shoppers, who substituted for cheaper and healthier food options. Finally, building on Thomassen et al. (American Economic Review, 2017), we estimate a structural model of households' choices concerning the stores they visit and the goods they consume. This model provides a basis for counterfactual analyses of calorie taxes (inter alia), and it allows us to link changes in caloric intake among different types of households to Walmart openings.
Note: Counterfactual simulation in progress.
with Diana Martínez Heredia, María Adelaida Martínez, Cristián Sánchez
Synopsis: In recent years, millions of children have been displaced, and evidence informing public policy for the welfare of migrants and recipient communities will be critical in the coming years. In this paper, we leverage cross-grade within-school variation on migrant share to understand the effect of the sudden influx of Venezuelan migrant children into the Peruvian school system. Our estimates show that as Venezuelan migrants enter Peruvian schools, parents of incumbent students react by transferring their children to higher-quality schools with fewer migrants. A 10% point increase in migrant exposure increases the probability of switching by 1.5 percentage points in primary and 1.1 percentage points in secondary schools. To understand the implications of this native flight on academic achievement, we employ a structural model that identifies students who switch schools because of migrants and compare their outcomes in the presence of migrants to a counterfactual scenario without migrants. Our findings reveal that switchers experience small gains (close to zero), albeit at a higher tuition cost, while students left behind are not negatively impacted. This suggests that native flight can serve as an adaptive strategy only for some students to mitigate the effects of the migrant influx, but generally brings no gains to students who switch schools. Moreover, it comes at a high cost.
Note: Counterfactual simulation in progress.
Work in Progress
Heterogeneity in Dynamics of Export and Skill Intensity
with Kala Krishna and Ryo Makioka
Labor Regulation and Product Nicheness: Evidence from Shipment of Indian Firms
with Kala Krishna and Ryo Makioka
Self-Employment and Credit Constraints of Indian Households
with Carlos Salamanca
Non-cognitive Skills and Learning Outcomes in Post-Disaster Recovery
with Esma Ozer
Household Consumption, Investment, and Bank Expansion: Evidence from India
with Ande Shen